Hapag-Lloyd raises outlook for third time on strong freight rates

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German container shipping group ​Hapag-Lloyd raised its full-year earnings outlook for the third time ‌this year on Wednesday, citing strength in freight rates and a stronger-than-expected performance in the fourth quarter.

The shares rose as much as 6.8% after the announcement ​and were up 4.2% by 1127 GMT.

The upgrade adds to a ​series of positive outlook revisions across the European logistics sector, ⁠where resilient global trade, elevated shipping rates and persistent supply-chain disruptions ​have supported earnings and boosted profitability.

Hapag-Lloyd now expects full-year earnings before interest ​and taxes of $2.0 billion to $2.4 billion, up from an earlier range of $1.25 billion to $1.75 billion. It also lifted the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation guidance ​to $4.6 billion to $5.0 billion, from $3.9 billion to $4.4 billion previously.

Freight rates have ​stayed elevated as Red Sea rerouting, Asian port congestion and Panama Canal restrictions reduced ‌effective ⁠shipping capacity, while infrastructure bottlenecks amplified disruptions and kept container markets tight, Morningstar analyst Ben Slupecki said.

Slupecki also anticipates a strong fourth quarter from Danish shipping group Maersk (MAERSKb.CO), opens new tab, but does not expect the company to ​raise its guidance ​further this year, ⁠he added.

Senior economist Rico Luman from ING Research said the year had turned out much stronger than ​expected for container shipping and logistics firms, with disruption-driven ​freight rates ⁠more than offsetting fuel-price pressures, while the 2027 outlook for container demand also remains favourable.

The latest increase follows Hapag-Lloyd’s earlier outlook hikes in July and September, ⁠and ​reflects sustained strength in container shipping markets ​and the management’s improved expectations for year-end trading.

Source: Reuters