Wednesday, February 8, 2023
spot_img
HomeHeadlinesGoldman expects oil prices to hit US$90 by year-end as supply tightens

Subscribe

To our FREE newsletter
Get all the latest maritime news delivered straight to your inbox.

Goldman expects oil prices to hit US$90 by year-end as supply tightens

Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for year-end Brent crude oil prices to US$90 per barrel from US$80, as a faster fuel demand recovery from Delta variant and Hurricane Ida’s hit to production led to tight global supplies.

Brent futures hit a near three-year high last week as global output disruptions have forced energy companies to pull large amounts of crude out of inventories.

Oil prices were trading at US$79.19 a barrel, as of 0619 GMT on Monday, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude were at US$75.08 a barrel.

“While we have long held a bullish oil view, the current global supply-demand deficit is larger than we expected, with the recovery in global demand from the Delta impact even faster than our above-consensus forecast and with global supply remaining short of our below consensus forecasts,” Goldman said in a note dated Sept. 26.

Earlier this month, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, a group known as OPEC+, agreed to stick to its decision made in July to phase out record output cuts.

Hurricane Ida’s hit to supply has more than offset OPEC+’s production ramp-up since July with non-OPEC+ and non-shale production continuing to disappoint, Goldman said.

Hurricane Ida and Nicholas, which swept through the U.S. Gulf of Mexico earlier this month, damaged platforms, pipelines and processing hubs, shutting most offshore production for weeks.

On the demand side, Goldman said risks were “squarely” skewed to the upside in the winter, as a global gas shortage will increase oil-fired power generation.

Goldman, however, flagged a potential new virus variant, which could weigh on demand and an aggressively faster ramp-up in OPEC+ production that may soften its projected deficit, as key risks to its bullish outlook.

For 2022, the bank lowered its average forecasts for the second and fourth quarter to US$80/bbl from US$85/bbl as it factored in the possibility of an Iran-U.S. nuclear deal by next April.

Source: Reuters

Related Posts

Video

Finance & Economy
Shipping News
Ports

Royal Caribbean set for record bookings after smaller loss

Royal Caribbean Group reported fourth quarter 2022 Loss per Share of $(1.96) and Adjusted Loss per Share of $(1.12). These results exceeded the company's...

Frontline: Emergency Arbitration claims initiated by Euronav fully dismissed

Frontline plc, formerly Frontline Ltd., announces that the Emergency Arbitration claims filed by Euronav have been fully dismissed by the Emergency Arbitrator. The decision was...

DP World reports solid volume performance in 2022

DP World Limited handled 79.0 million TEU (twenty-foot equivalent units) across its global portfolio of container terminals in full year 2022, with gross container...

LNG boosts CPLP 2022 results

Capital Product Partners L.P. released its financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2022. Highlights  Three-month periods ended December 31, 20222021Increase/(Decrease)Revenues$79.9 million$63.6 million26%Expenses$42.1 million$35.7...

Keppel Corp posts 9% drop in full-year profit

Singapore’s Keppel Corp said on Thursday its net profit for the year fell 9%, partly hurt by weak performance from its urban development business...

Royal Caribbean set for record bookings after smaller loss

Royal Caribbean Group reported fourth quarter 2022 Loss per Share of $(1.96) and Adjusted...

Baltic Index Extends Fall On Lower Rates For Panamax, Supramax

The Baltic Exchange’s main sea freight index, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk...

Baltic index hits nearly three-year low on weaker vessel demand

The Baltic Exchange’s main sea freight index, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk...

Baltic index hits over 2-year trough on waning demand for larger vessels

The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index dropped to its lowest level in...

Luxury Cruise Market Holds Much Promise For Greek & East Med Hidden Gem Destinations

The appeal of Greece and the East Mediterranean as an ideal region for luxury...

Clarkson Port Services acquires offshore renewable energy service provider, DHSS

Clarkson announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Clarkson Port Services, has completed the acquisition of DHSS, a leading provider of integrated logistics services to...

DP World reports solid volume performance in 2022

DP World Limited handled 79.0 million TEU (twenty-foot equivalent units) across its global portfolio of container terminals in full year 2022, with gross container...

DP World wins bid for development of a mega-container terminal at India’s Deendayal Port

DP World has won a major concession to develop, operate and maintain the mega-container terminal at Deendayal port in Gujarat, on the western coast...

Luxury Cruise Market Holds Much Promise For Greek & East Med Hidden Gem Destinations

The appeal of Greece and the East Mediterranean as an ideal region for luxury cruising will be one of the main highlights of the...

Port of Los Angeles proposes cruise terminal project

The Port of Los Angeles is inviting comments on a draft Request for Proposals (RFP) for the future development of a new Outer Harbor...