Iron ore at two-week high on stimulus hope, supply disruption fears

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Dalian and Singapore iron ore futures hit their highest in two weeks on Thursday as sentiment improved on the prospects of Chinese stimulus policies to revive the economy, better-than-expected factory activity data and supply disruption worries.

Weak manufacturing data has raised expectations of policy support for industry, analysts at investment bank ANZ said in a morning note.

The official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) released on Wednesday fell to a five-month low of 48.8, contributing to broad weakness in the ferrous metals market that day.

However, the Caixin/S&P global PMI rose to 50.9 in May from 49.5 in April, above the 50-point index mark that separates growth from contraction, data showed on Thursday. The reading surpassed expectations of 49.5 in a Reuters poll.

Lifting the iron ore market is also concern about possible supply disruption, though some analysts played down that impact.

South African freight logistics group Transnet has suspended operations on its main iron ore railway line due to cable theft, it said in a statement on Wednesday.

The most-traded September iron ore on the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) ended daytime trading 5.77% higher at 743 yuan ($107.49) a tonne, the highest since May 18.

The benchmark June iron ore on the Singapore Exchange was 3.38% higher at $104.65 a tonne, as of 0712 GMT, the highest since May 19.

“We do not think it will have a big impact on the market, as the temporary suspension on transportation will likely merely affect the shipment pace, without reducing overall shipment volumes much,” said Cheng Peng, a Beijing-based analyst at Sinosteel Futures.

The other steelmaking ingredients – coking coal and coke climbed 3.58% and 2.87%, respectively.

Higher raw materials prices supported steel prices as well. Rebar on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose 2.84% to 3,546 yuan a tonne, hot-rolled coil grew 3.1%, wire rod gained 1.29% and stainless steel moved up 2.31%.

Source: Reuters

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